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Red49
172113.9
90969.1
545918.1
Blue58
13337.6
151211.9
12477.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44482030406070804958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5459
#29
18.10.2
15.816.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End1.4
blue by 19.5
133
#4
37.60.7
31.832.4
Auto11.6
Teleop18.2
End7.7
Second
1721
#21
13.90.2
12.412.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
red by 2.0
1512
#23
11.90.7
6.97.5
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End3.0
Third
9096
#34
9.10.2
12.312.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End0.5
red by 2.0
1247
#26
7.20.7
4.35.0
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsMissed