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Red59
234218.9
669011.8
841019.0
Blue57
870815.7
16633.1
68959.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495702040801001205957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8410
#24
19.00.5
19.620.0
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End2.2
blue by 14.1
166
#6
33.10.4
26.827.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.2
End2.9
Second
2342
#15
18.90.5
18.418.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End1.4
red by 3.2
15.70.4
13.614.0
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
6690
#16
11.80.5
7.27.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End2.1
red by 1.9
6895
#25
9.90.4
9.910.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed