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Red27
870815.7
359716.6
545918.1
Blue23
12477.2
172113.9
669011.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45250204060802723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5459
#29
18.10.7
17.216.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 4.2
1721
#21
13.90.1
12.412.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Second
3597
#12
16.60.8
9.78.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
red by 4.8
6690
#16
11.80.1
7.47.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End2.1
Third
15.70.7
11.210.5
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 8.6
1247
#26
7.20.1
4.94.8
Auto4.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed