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Red56
66320.6
632416.1
841019.0
Blue38
476113.1
590212.4
549419.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57462040801005638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#10
20.60.4
17.818.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 1.4
5494
#20
19.20.7
18.317.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End1.8
Second
8410
#24
19.00.4
20.020.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End2.2
red by 5.8
4761
#30
13.10.7
14.914.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Third
16.10.4
12.813.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
red by 3.7
5902
#22
12.40.7
10.19.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed