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Red74
13337.6
359716.6
17223.1
Blue81
16633.1
66320.6
542225.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72750501001502002503007481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#4
37.60.6
34.935.5
Auto11.6
Teleop18.2
End7.7
red by 4.4
166
#6
33.10.9
28.629.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.2
End2.9
Second
172
#11
23.10.6
16.517.1
Auto8.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
blue by 2.0
25.10.9
21.021.9
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End1.3
Third
3597
#12
16.60.6
13.914.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
blue by 4.0
663
#10
20.60.9
18.018.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed