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Red75
345111.0
542225.1
581332.3
Blue63
18314.3
13337.6
870815.7
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6654204060801007563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.31.0
28.529.5
Auto14.4
Teleop13.5
End4.4
blue by 5.3
133
#4
37.60.4
34.935.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.2
End7.7
Second
25.11.0
19.720.6
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End1.3
red by 9.4
15.70.4
12.212.6
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
3451
#19
11.01.0
10.311.3
Auto0.7
Teleop8.9
End1.5
red by 6.7
1831
#35
4.30.4
3.03.4
Auto0.3
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsEarned