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Red39
90969.1
76749.9
549419.2
Blue63
50112.9
16633.1
590212.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4256020801003963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5494
#20
19.20.0
19.519.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End1.8
blue by 13.9
166
#6
33.10.3
28.328.6
Auto10.0
Teleop20.2
End2.9
Second
7674
#32
9.90.0
9.99.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End1.4
blue by 3.1
501
#17
12.90.3
9.59.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Third
9096
#34
9.10.0
10.010.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End0.5
blue by 3.3
5902
#22
12.40.3
11.211.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned