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Red60
68959.9
50112.9
13337.6
Blue46
97328.8
590212.4
147414.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52290204060801006046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#4
37.61.1
31.032.1
Auto11.6
Teleop18.2
End7.7
red by 22.9
1474
#13
14.70.2
11.711.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Second
501
#17
12.91.1
6.07.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 0.5
5902
#22
12.40.2
8.78.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Third
6895
#25
9.91.1
6.98.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
red by 1.1
9732
#33
8.80.2
8.78.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed