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Red60
359716.6
454624.7
151211.9
Blue50
172919.0
252311.9
870815.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514410203040607080906050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.0
23.024.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End1.4
red by 5.7
1729
#14
19.00.6
16.417.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.0
Second
3597
#12
16.61.0
12.913.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
red by 0.9
15.70.6
12.613.2
Auto7.2
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
1512
#23
11.91.0
9.610.6
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End3.0
Level
2523
#28
11.90.6
11.512.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed