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Red46
252311.9
135014.5
669011.8
Blue37
172113.9
18314.3
590212.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36310102040506070804637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1350
#18
14.50.2
10.510.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.3
red by 0.6
1721
#21
13.90.6
13.013.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Second
2523
#28
11.90.2
12.112.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End1.2
blue by 0.5
5902
#22
12.40.6
11.512.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End3.0
Third
6690
#16
11.80.2
9.710.0
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End2.1
red by 7.5
1831
#35
4.30.6
4.24.7
Auto0.3
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsEarned