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Red46
234218.9
545918.1
18314.3
Blue81
632416.1
61619.1
476113.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463802060804681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#15
18.90.3
18.418.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End1.4
red by 2.9
16.11.1
13.915.0
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Second
5459
#29
18.10.3
17.717.4
Auto6.4
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 4.9
4761
#30
13.11.1
13.314.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Third
1831
#35
4.30.3
4.74.4
Auto0.3
Teleop1.9
End2.1
blue by 4.7
6161
#27
9.11.1
8.09.1
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed