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Red32
151211.9
97328.8
476113.1
Blue76
549419.2
13337.6
669011.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347902040601001203276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4761
#30
13.10.6
14.413.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End0.7
blue by 24.4
133
#4
37.60.5
35.235.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.2
End7.7
Second
1512
#23
11.90.6
12.011.4
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End3.0
blue by 7.4
5494
#20
19.20.5
19.219.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End1.8
Third
9732
#33
8.80.6
9.48.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 3.0
6690
#16
11.80.5
11.512.0
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed68%Ensemble oddsEarned