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Red60
359716.6
252311.9
172113.9
Blue55
17223.1
456431.6
147414.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398120601001201406055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3597
#12
16.60.6
15.516.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
blue by 15.0
31.60.9
31.130.2
Auto12.6
Teleop15.5
End3.5
Second
1721
#21
13.90.6
14.014.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End2.8
blue by 9.2
172
#11
23.10.9
22.221.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
Third
2523
#28
11.90.6
11.111.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End1.2
blue by 2.8
1474
#13
14.70.9
15.114.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed