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Red114
135014.5
17223.1
13337.6
Blue46
841019.0
804621.4
549419.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8266204010012014016011446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#4
37.60.2
36.636.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.2
End7.7
red by 16.2
21.40.3
22.021.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Second
172
#11
23.10.2
22.122.3
Auto8.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
red by 3.9
5494
#20
19.20.3
19.819.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End1.8
Third
1350
#18
14.50.2
13.513.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.3
blue by 4.5
8410
#24
19.00.3
19.519.2
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End2.2