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Red72
581332.3
476113.1
632416.1
Blue45
669011.8
454624.7
68959.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73490204060801001201407245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.4
32.832.5
Auto14.4
Teleop13.5
End4.4
red by 7.6
24.70.2
24.924.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Second
16.10.4
16.616.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.5
End1.2
red by 4.3
6690
#16
11.80.2
12.011.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End2.1
Third
4761
#30
13.10.4
13.713.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End0.7
red by 3.2
6895
#25
9.90.2
10.19.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3