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Red29
172920.9
76745.5
332314.7
Blue66
346730.4
87245.4
192224.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527901001502002966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.6
22.020.4
Auto9.3
Teleop10.4
End1.3
blue by 9.5
30.40.4
35.434.9
Auto8.9
Teleop18.8
End2.8
Second
3323
#10
14.71.6
18.516.9
Auto6.3
Teleop5.7
End2.7
blue by 10.2
24.90.4
25.124.7
Auto7.5
Teleop13.8
End3.7
Third
7674
#20
5.51.6
9.98.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.0
End0.9
red by 0.1
8724
#12
5.40.4
7.26.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned