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Red30
841016.2
50110.6
23819.9
Blue83
192224.9
13135.5
791319.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48930204060801201401603083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#15
19.91.2
19.117.8
Auto9.5
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 15.7
131
#3
35.50.3
34.534.8
Auto11.7
Teleop18.3
End5.5
Second
8410
#26
16.21.2
17.416.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.7
End1.6
blue by 8.8
24.90.3
25.025.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.8
End3.7
Third
501
#25
10.61.2
12.211.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End2.7
blue by 9.2
19.80.3
19.519.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsEarned