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Red26
79072.8
454623.9
87245.4
Blue51
16628.7
13074.3
791319.8
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356602060801001201402651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#28
23.90.7
24.523.7
Auto11.3
Teleop12.7
End-0.1
blue by 4.8
166
#4
28.70.3
27.427.1
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End2.8
Second
8724
#12
5.40.7
6.76.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.0
End0.2
blue by 14.4
19.80.3
21.621.3
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End2.1
Third
7907
#19
2.80.7
4.03.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.5
End1.1
blue by 1.4
1307
#29
4.30.3
7.26.8
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed