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Red61
81115.3
13815.6
791319.8
Blue81
15120.3
234213.5
63249.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5844020801001206181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End2.1
blue by 0.5
151
#11
20.30.6
19.520.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Second
138
#22
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.7
red by 2.0
2342
#21
13.50.6
12.813.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
811
#9
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto8.1
Teleop5.4
End1.8
red by 5.7
6324
#13
9.60.6
8.99.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End0.3