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Red44
15126.2
13124.4
490517.6
Blue63
90559.4
5821.9
105830.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443402060804463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
24.41.1
15.814.7
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End4.4
blue by 6.1
30.52.7
14.917.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.7
End2.0
Second
4905
#13
17.61.1
14.113.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 4.3
58
#12
21.92.7
7.410.1
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End1.9
Third
1512
#24
6.21.1
8.77.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.5
End2.8
blue by 3.2
9055
#22
9.42.7
9.812.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed