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Red14
870811.2
15126.2
568724.8
Blue77
105830.5
12474.9
346727.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325802040801001477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.82.0
15.813.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.5
End2.3
blue by 5.7
30.51.9
17.519.5
Auto10.9
Teleop17.7
End2.0
Second
8708
#21
11.22.0
8.66.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 16.2
27.41.9
25.427.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Third
1512
#24
6.22.0
7.75.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.5
End2.8
red by 1.2
1247
#29
4.91.9
6.78.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed