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Red70
872415.3
632936.8
870811.2
Blue26
35665.6
615315.4
905610.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6523040801007026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.1
30.131.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
red by 21.4
6153
#23
15.40.5
9.99.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Second
8724
#26
15.31.1
16.817.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
red by 5.1
9056
#20
10.10.5
7.56.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Third
8708
#21
11.21.1
6.67.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 5.7
3566
#30
5.60.5
8.37.7
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed