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Red53
490924.2
35665.6
490517.6
Blue54
12612.9
632828.0
872415.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39571020305070805354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#11
24.21.6
14.516.1
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 3.8
28.00.5
21.922.4
Auto13.0
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Second
4905
#13
17.61.8
14.916.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.8
red by 2.4
8724
#26
15.30.5
17.918.4
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
Third
3566
#30
5.61.8
7.79.5
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 7.3
126
#18
12.90.5
9.49.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed