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Red76
346727.4
944315.3
447316.3
Blue38
80238.5
13821.0
54915.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5541020801001207638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.9
27.329.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.4
red by 6.4
138
#10
21.00.6
18.217.5
Auto8.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Second
16.32.0
10.412.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 7.8
8023
#28
8.50.6
13.312.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
9443
#16
15.31.9
10.312.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 9.9
5491
#35
5.40.6
7.46.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed