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Red55
490924.2
615315.4
81115.2
Blue59
632828.0
447316.3
15126.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4248203060705559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#11
24.21.1
16.117.3
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 3.8
28.01.8
22.424.2
Auto13.0
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Second
6153
#23
15.41.1
9.410.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 0.9
16.31.8
12.414.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Third
811
#25
15.21.1
13.514.7
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End0.8
red by 9.0
1512
#24
6.21.8
8.29.9
Auto2.8
Teleop0.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed