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Red74
12612.9
13124.4
13821.0
Blue42
15711.1
192223.5
13077.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484410203040607080907442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
24.42.3
17.019.3
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End4.4
red by 0.9
23.50.2
20.220.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Second
138
#10
21.02.9
15.918.8
Auto8.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
red by 10.0
157
#33
11.10.2
9.69.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
126
#18
12.92.9
9.812.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End2.8
red by 5.5
1307
#32
7.40.2
10.310.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed