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Red47
13077.4
872415.3
105830.5
Blue19
346727.4
80238.5
2386.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63472040801004719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.6
27.927.2
Auto10.9
Teleop17.7
End2.0
red by 3.1
27.42.1
27.725.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Second
8724
#26
15.30.9
17.116.3
Auto6.7
Teleop7.9
End0.6
red by 6.8
8023
#28
8.52.7
12.59.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
1307
#32
7.40.9
10.59.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End2.0
red by 1.0
238
#31
6.41.9
4.42.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed