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Red18
35665.6
54915.4
404112.4
Blue41
15126.2
12474.9
490924.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2839010205060701841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#14
12.41.5
8.36.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End0.9
blue by 11.8
4909
#11
24.20.3
15.615.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
3566
#30
5.61.5
9.88.3
Auto0.8
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 0.6
1512
#24
6.20.3
8.58.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.5
End2.8
Third
5491
#35
5.41.5
8.87.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End0.8
red by 0.4
1247
#29
4.90.3
9.79.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed