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Red75
905610.1
9523.1
447316.3
Blue57
13077.4
632936.8
15126.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4855203040607080907557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#15
23.11.2
22.223.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End0.9
blue by 13.7
36.80.5
34.033.5
Auto10.7
Teleop23.2
End2.9
Second
16.31.2
13.014.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
red by 8.9
1307
#32
7.40.5
7.97.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.1
End2.0
Third
9056
#20
10.11.2
9.010.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.9
red by 4.0
1512
#24
6.20.5
6.76.2
Auto2.8
Teleop0.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsEarned