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Red71
81115.2
615315.4
13124.4
Blue92
447316.3
5821.9
15711.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61492040801007192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
24.40.4
24.024.4
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End4.4
red by 2.5
58
#12
21.90.6
20.821.5
Auto9.9
Teleop10.0
End1.9
Second
6153
#23
15.40.4
15.015.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 0.9
16.30.6
15.215.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.4
End0.7
Third
811
#25
15.20.4
14.815.2
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End0.8
red by 4.1
157
#33
11.10.6
10.010.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9