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Red45
7829.7
115331.4
870818.7
Blue74
105829.2
31927.9
596218.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89830501001504574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
red by 2.2
1058
#16
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.8
End1.4
Second
78
#19
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
red by 1.9
319
#2
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End1.0
Third
8708
#21
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End2.8
red by 0.3
5962
#14
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody odds86%Melody odds
Ensemble
82%Ensemble odds4%Ensemble odds