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Red59
870818.7
31927.9
207920.0
Blue43
23816.5
24621.6
16629.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747450607080901005943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#2
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End1.0
blue by 1.4
166
#8
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto8.9
Teleop17.2
End3.1
Second
2079
#12
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End0.6
blue by 1.6
246
#20
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End0.5
Third
8708
#21
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End2.8
red by 2.2
238
#10
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody odds82%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds45%Ensemble odds