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Red29
596218.4
24621.6
944320.7
Blue53
176831.8
107312.5
31927.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65820501001502002953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#20
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End0.5
blue by 10.3
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto13.3
Teleop17.3
End1.2
Second
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto10.5
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 7.2
319
#2
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End1.0
Third
5962
#14
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
red by 6.0
1073
#18
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto6.7
Teleop4.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody odds95%Melody odds
Ensemble
15%Ensemble odds4%Ensemble odds