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Red82
207920.0
454625.4
15723.0
Blue70
23816.5
7829.7
172922.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76757072747880828270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#17
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End-0.2
blue by 4.3
78
#19
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
Second
157
#3
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto9.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
red by 1.0
1729
#15
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Third
2079
#12
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End0.6
red by 3.5
238
#10
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody odds53%Melody odds
Ensemble
9%Ensemble odds84%Ensemble odds