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Red70
15121.0
234215.4
176831.8
Blue53
105829.2
207920.0
23816.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76720501001507053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto13.3
Teleop17.3
End1.2
red by 2.7
1058
#16
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.8
End1.4
Second
151
#7
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End0.8
red by 1.0
2079
#12
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End0.6
Third
2342
#13
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End0.1
blue by 1.1
238
#10
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody odds44%Melody odds
Ensemble
7%Ensemble odds26%Ensemble odds