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Red78
31927.9
19024.6
115331.4
Blue69
596218.4
176831.8
23816.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96700501502007869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
blue by 0.4
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto13.3
Teleop17.3
End1.2
Second
319
#2
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End1.0
red by 9.4
5962
#14
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
Third
190
#6
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.0
End2.7
red by 8.1
238
#10
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody odds79%Melody odds
Ensemble
23%Ensemble odds20%Ensemble odds