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Red39
7829.7
107312.5
31927.9
Blue84
176831.8
596218.4
13135.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74980501502002503984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#19
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto10.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
blue by 6.0
131
#4
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End6.8
Second
319
#2
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End1.0
blue by 4.0
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto13.3
Teleop17.3
End1.2
Third
1073
#18
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto6.7
Teleop4.5
End1.3
blue by 6.0
5962
#14
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0