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Red59
24621.6
115331.4
105829.2
Blue107
172922.0
454625.4
19024.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937805015020059107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto13.0
Teleop15.5
End2.9
red by 6.0
4546
#17
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End-0.2
Second
1058
#16
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto10.9
Teleop16.8
End1.4
red by 4.6
190
#6
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.0
End2.7
Third
246
#20
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.6
End0.5
blue by 0.4
1729
#15
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End2.4