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Red108
13135.8
596218.4
176831.8
Blue88
172922.0
234215.4
19024.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006405015020010888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End6.8
red by 11.1
190
#6
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.0
End2.7
Second
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto13.3
Teleop17.3
End1.2
red by 9.8
1729
#15
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Third
5962
#14
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.7
End-0.0
red by 3.0
2342
#13
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End0.1