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Red70
19024.6
454625.4
172922.0
Blue69
15723.0
16629.3
944320.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8080506070901007069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#17
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto10.9
Teleop14.7
End-0.2
blue by 3.9
166
#8
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto8.9
Teleop17.2
End3.1
Second
190
#6
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.0
End2.7
red by 1.6
157
#3
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto9.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Third
1729
#15
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 1.3
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto10.5
Teleop7.7
End2.5