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Red114
346719.4
490517.6
632833.9
Blue63
13128.4
115324.6
10738.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8067020406010012011463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 5.5
131
#6
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Second
3467
#20
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 5.2
1153
#13
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End2.2
Third
4905
#26
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 8.7
1073
#11
8.90.0
8.98.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9