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Red37
490517.6
110016.7
147412.5
Blue55
632833.9
50916.7
287617.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611010501502003755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#26
17.64.3
17.621.9
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
blue by 16.3
33.97.4
33.941.4
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Second
1100
#21
16.74.4
16.721.1
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End0.9
blue by 0.8
17.51.9
17.519.4
Auto10.3
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Third
1474
#16
12.50.8
12.511.7
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 4.2
509
#15
16.72.9
16.719.7
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed83%Ensemble oddsMissed