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Red82
192220.9
147412.5
287725.9
Blue33
115324.6
19012.4
63246.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69520204060801001208233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#14
25.90.4
25.525.9
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 1.3
1153
#13
24.61.4
26.024.6
Auto11.9
Teleop10.5
End2.2
Second
20.90.4
23.223.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.8
End2.7
red by 8.5
190
#19
12.41.4
13.812.4
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Third
1474
#16
12.50.4
12.112.5
Auto7.0
Teleop3.6
End1.9
red by 6.5
6324
#25
6.01.4
9.27.8
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed