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Red38
19012.4
10738.9
346719.4
Blue48
13128.4
99908.5
22626.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655601001502003848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#20
19.49.8
19.429.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 9.0
131
#6
28.46.9
28.435.3
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End4.9
Second
190
#19
12.42.8
12.415.2
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9
red by 3.9
9990
#27
8.51.8
8.56.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.2
End0.1
Third
1073
#11
8.90.2
8.99.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 2.3
2262
#23
6.71.9
6.78.6
Auto6.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed