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Red98
632833.9
87245.4
346719.4
Blue23
50112.6
172918.0
19012.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684402060801009823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.99.6
43.533.9
Auto14.8
Teleop14.7
End4.5
red by 16.0
1729
#17
18.02.9
20.918.0
Auto11.5
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Second
3467
#20
19.411.0
30.419.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 6.8
501
#9
12.62.0
10.612.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Third
8724
#18
5.40.0
5.45.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 7.1
190
#19
12.44.1
16.512.4
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End0.9