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Red36
249520.5
87071.6
56247.8
Blue20
351511.5
46522.3
91009.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3623060803620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.6
18.919.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 9.0
3515
#21
11.50.2
7.27.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Second
5624
#18
7.80.3
7.67.9
Auto1.1
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 1.2
9100
#25
9.00.2
7.87.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Third
8707
#26
1.60.6
4.65.2
Auto0.8
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
blue by 0.7
4652
#27
2.30.2
7.16.9
Auto1.1
Teleop0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed