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Red38
201614.7
25778.8
351511.5
Blue38
56247.8
218016.9
46522.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26340102030405060703838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#12
14.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.3
blue by 2.2
16.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.5
Second
3515
#21
11.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 3.7
5624
#18
7.8
Auto1.1
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Third
2577
#20
8.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End0.2
red by 6.5
4652
#27
2.3
Auto1.1
Teleop0.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed