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Red40
86288.6
56669.9
162611.4
Blue28
10328.9
68974.7
85885.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3345102040506070804028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#14
11.40.7
11.110.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 17.5
103
#3
28.91.9
26.925.1
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End0.8
Second
5666
#11
9.90.7
11.610.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End0.8
red by 4.1
8588
#16
5.81.2
6.35.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End0.9
Third
8628
#22
8.60.7
8.78.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End0.1
red by 3.8
6897
#23
4.71.9
5.94.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed