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Red32
249520.5
91009.0
86288.6
Blue65
25549.3
201614.7
180723.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384602060801003265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.3
20.119.8
Auto7.9
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 2.7
23.22.3
18.520.8
Auto10.9
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Second
9100
#25
9.00.3
6.15.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 5.7
2016
#12
14.72.3
13.816.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Third
8628
#22
8.60.3
9.28.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End0.1
blue by 0.8
2554
#19
9.32.2
8.310.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed