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Red32
33408.9
46537.9
68974.7
Blue58
219114.8
180723.2
218016.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1563040801001203258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3340
#17
8.90.2
7.87.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.5
End2.8
blue by 14.3
23.20.1
21.922.1
Auto10.9
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Second
4653
#24
7.90.2
7.47.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End0.6
blue by 9.0
16.90.2
15.615.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End1.5
Third
6897
#23
4.70.2
4.54.7
Auto3.2
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 10.1
14.80.1
13.713.9
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed